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Climate Change Minister Simon Watts |
You may have noticed that climate change has largely dropped off the radar, even though many people are still dealing with the long laborious task of recovering after unprecedented storms decimated many parts of New Zealand. So what is the National-led government doing about this existential threat? Nothing good really. The latest reforms to the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS), rolled out by the Coalition of Chaos, are yet another example of the government kicking the climate can down the road. These changes, meant to bolster our fight against climate change, are about as effective as a paper towel in a cyclone. Let’s unpack this mess and remind ourselves how we got here, thanks to decades of gutless decisions by government's who appear obsessed with cooking the planet.
On Monday,
RNZ reported:
Auckland prepares for climate change realities
Auckland's emergency response teams are preparing for the realities of climate change, considering potentially life saving options such as leaving air conditioned libraries open for longer during heatwaves.
But when it comes to stopping climate change from getting worse, figures show our biggest city is way off target.
…
But University of Auckland senior planning lecture Dr Tim Welch said public transport trips were still below pre-lockdown levels in 2019, while cycling trips have only just recovered to their 2019 levels - at about 370,000 journeys a month in March.
Add plunging electric vehicle sales, and the goals looked out of reach.
"We're wildly off track and I could say, without being pessimistic, just being a realist here, that unless we do something dramatic very very soon that's transformational we are going to miss these targets by a significant amount."
It's becoming more apparent that NZ’s climate policies are no longer enough to help keep warming at 1.5°C. In particular, the NZ ETS, our flagship tool for cutting emissions, has been tinkered with time and time again, with the coalition claiming it’ll somehow magically align with our 2050 net-zero goal. But dig into the details, and it’s clear this is more about appeasing big polluters than saving the planet.
The reforms, following 2023 consultations, aim to cap emissions and tweak forestry rules, but they’re riddled with loopholes. Agriculture, which churns out nearly half of our emissions, gets another free pass until at least 2030, despite promises to price methane by 2025. This isn’t reform; it’s a love letter to the dairy lobby while they rob New Zealanders blind, signed by a government too spineless to act.
National’s refusal to ditch pollution subsidies is a gut-punch to climate action. Forking out $250 million annually to prop up big polluters like NZ Steel and Methanex, while crying poor on schools and hospitals, exposes their priorities: corporate mates over a liveable planet. Treasury and He Pou a Rangi begged for a review, but Simon Watts slammed the door shut.

These handouts, entrenched since 2008, let emissions-intensive industries pollute without penalty, undermining the ETS’s purpose. It’s a shameless betrayal of New Zealanders, locking us into a dirtier more precarious future while National hands tax cuts to landlords. The next government must end this rort and make the unrepentant polluters pay.
Simon Watts, National’s Climate Change Minister, is a polluter’s dream. A former banker with zero climate credibility, he’s dodged reviewing $250 million in subsidies to big polluters, ignoring Treasury and IRD. His ETS fumbles and fossil fuel flip-flops at COP28 expose a minister out of his depth, prioritising corporate cronies over the planet.
In April, RNZ reported:
Ministers rejected advice to review climate grants
Ministers rejected advice to take a hard look at hundreds of millions of dollars in climate grants to the likes of NZ Steel, Methanex, Rio Tinto, and Fletcher Building.
Inland Revenue and Treasury told the government there was no proper evidence that yearly subsidies to some of the country's biggest carbon polluters were needed.
Their recommendation for a thorough review was met with a no thanks from Minister Simon Watts.
He Pou a Rangi’s plan to flood the ETS with 13.6 million extra NZ emission units from 2026-2030 is a reckless backslide. National’s cronies on the commission seem happy to juice auction volumes, letting polluters off the hook. Lower industrial allocations should mean emissions cuts, not more credits to burn. This isn’t climate policy. We need a hard cap, not a free-for-all that spikes our Paris NDC costs. Time to stop sabotaging the ETS and start putting pressure on polluters to force New Zealand's emissions down.
The coalition’s obsession with forestry offsets is another head-scratcher. They’re doubling down on planting exotic trees to soak up carbon, ignoring the Climate Change Commission’s warning that over-reliance on pine trees masks real emissions cuts. This isn’t new; past governments have leaned on dodgy Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) accounting to fudge numbers, pretending we’re greener than we are. The result? Our 2030 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) relies on buying billions of dollars worth of international offsets, because we can’t cut emissions at home.
Flash back to the 2000s: the ETS was launched without a cap, meaning unlimited emissions were “traded.” Genius. Then, the National-led government of 2008-2017 kept prices so low that polluters had no reason to change. Fast forward to today, and the coalition’s squabbling with ACT wanting to gut the Zero Carbon Act, while NZ First peddles climate denial, and National just shrugs, ensures we’re stuck in neutral and doing nothing. Their plan to divert the Climate Emergency Response Fund to tax cuts is a gross denial of the realities of climate change fuelled storms.
The science is screaming: methane cuts are urgent, yet the coalition’s dragging its feet on any meaningful investment. The Zero Carbon Act’s split-gas target was a compromise, but even that’s too much for this lot. They’re betting on future tech miracles while ignoring low-hanging fruit like public transport or regenerative farming. New Zealand’s climate goals (net-zero by 2050, halving emissions by 2030) are slipping away, and the coalition’s reforms and pro oil and gas policies are just more nails in the coffin.
New Zealand’s pollution crisis is dire: 2015 saw 17.5 tonnes of greenhouse gases per capita, 33% above the industrialised nation average. Agricultural methane, half our emissions, remains untaxed, ballooning our carbon footprint. Storm frequency is surging. NIWA projects a 30% increase in flooding risks by 2099 under high-emission scenarios, with 1-in-50-year storms already being a regular occurrence and hitting harder. Climate change is pummelling Aotearoa hard, yet National’s ETS fiddling and polluter subsidies keep us on a collision course with catastrophe.

The government’s cozying up to polluters reeks of corruption. Their refusal to axe $250 million in subsidies for NZ Steel and Rio Tinto, despite expert warnings, shows that big business is pulling the strings. While the Coalition of Chaos cries poor on public services, their loyalty lies with corporate donors, not the planet. It’s a bribe-fueled betrayal of every Kiwi facing the very real consequences of climate disaster.
This isn’t leadership; it’s a betrayal of future generations. The Coalition of Chaos is recycling the same tired excuses, leaving others to clean up their mess. Time to force polluters to reduce their footprint, price agriculture’s emissions properly, and actually fight for a liveable planet. Anything less is just hot air.