The Jackal: October 2025

31 Oct 2025

New Zealand's Housing Crisis Needs a CGT Cure

The Labour Party has finally released it's long-anticipated capital gains tax (CGT) policy, and despite the resulting and predictable right-wing backlash, it's a thoroughly researched and measured approach, targeting profits from the sale of residential and commercial investment properties at a flat 28 per cent rate, commencing July 1, 2027, exempting family homes, farms, and inheritances.

The revenue, projected at $385 million in its first full year rising to $1.35 billion thereafter, would fund a "Medicard" granting every New Zealander three free GP visits annually. This is no radical upheaval, but a pragmatic alignment with global norms...a quiet assertion that untaxed windfalls from non-productive bricks and mortar should shoulder some burden for the public good.


On Wednesday, 1 News reported:

 
'Bring it on': Hipkins targets Luxon in capital gains tax debate

National has been poised to jump on Labour's long-awaited tax policy and has already pushed out a series of attack ads on social media.

Asked about those ads, Hipkins said he was more than happy to debate Christopher Luxon about his personal finances.

"Bring it on. He sold four houses last year and made more money, tax free, from doing that than he made in the prime minister's salary, which he paid tax on every dollar of.

"Why should he be able to make more than $600,000 in one year from flipping properties whilst the people who go out and work hard every day for a living pay tax on every single dollar that they earn?"


However, as with any whisper of equity in our overheated fiscal debates, the response from the governing coalition has been a cacophony of outrage, a theatrical overreaction befitting a Shakespearean farce. Christopher Luxon, from his perch in Malaysia, decried it as "a tax on every single business in New Zealand," a handbrake on growth that would inflate consumer prices. Finance Minister Nicola Willis echoed the Prime Minister's alarmism, branding it a "terrible idea" that burdens small enterprises. ACT's David Seymour invoked "tall-poppy politics," while New Zealand First dismissed the rollout as a "trainwreck."

The problem for the incumbents is that their fear-mongering, dressed as fiscal prudence, is being laughed out of the room. Their reflexive defence of the status quo where capital accrues to the few while the many scramble for scraps is clearly not supported by the majority of New Zealanders, particularly those who haven't secured a family home yet.

Labour Leader Chris Hipkins rightly countered those who want the housing crisis to get worse by succinctly pointing out that it's "the most progressive tax change in a generation," a simple mechanism to redistribute the fruits of speculation towards healthcare for all.

The right's hysteria ignores a plain truth: New Zealand stands anomalous among OECD peers in shunning a comprehensive CGT. Only Mexico joins us in this outlier status; the rest, from the United Kingdom to Canada and our trans-Tasman kin, levy such taxes on capital gains, often at rates exceeding 20 per cent, without precipitating economic Armageddon. Denmark tops the scale at 42 per cent, Norway close behind at 37.2 per cent, yet their economies hum with innovation and productivity those within New Zealand's current government can only dream of.

These nations prove that taxing unearned gains does not stifle enterprise; it channels investment from speculative housing towards ventures that build lasting wealth and safeguard society from the dysfunction of rampant inequality. In our own backyard, the absence of such a levy has fuelled a property obsession, distorting capital away from productive ends and into the hands of flippers who treat homes as mere commodities. Non of their hoarded wealth trickles down.

Worse still is the National Party's parade of disinformation, a deliberate sleight of hand to obscure the proposal's narrow scope. Luxon and Willis peddled the myth that it ensnares "every business," when Labour's design spares shares, KiwiSaver, and most commercial operations unless tied to property sales. This is not oversight; it is calculated distortion, echoing past disinformation campaigns where National accused opponents of "tax and spend" follies. The truth, as Deloitte's Robyn Walker affirms, is a "sensible middle ground" that mirrors the 2018 Tax Working Group's pragmatic recommendations.


On Tuesday, RNZ reported:

What you need to know: Seven questions about a capital gains tax

The minority view of the report said it agreed there was a strong case for extending taxes to untaxed capital gains.

But it said the comprehensive capital gains tax as proposed in the group's wider final report would outweigh the benefits.

"In our view a comprehensive approach would impose efficiency, compliance and administrative costs that would not be outweighed by the increased revenue, fairness perceptions, and possible integrity benefits of the broader approach. Instead we support a more moderate approach of extending current rules taxing gains, to property categories, only to the extent that benefits clearly exceed costs."

Robyn Walker, tax partner at Deloitte, said Labour's proposal was a sensible middle ground that mirrored that view.

"I think it's a good compromise, I guess, and it means that hopefully we're not like in the weeds on the details of capital gains taxes for the next 12 months, which even as a tax person, I don't want to do that."

 

The right-wing's fear tactics betray a deeper unease: the proposal unmasks the coalition's own indulgences. Consider Luxon himself, whose property portfolio has been a study in untaxed bounty. Before entering politics, he amassed seven Auckland holdings. Recent sales, a Grey Street, Onehunga unit for a tax-free gain potentially exceeding $250,000, and another Onehunga unit netting $295,000, have swollen his coffers, all shielded from capital levies. His on-paper gains topped $4.34 million last year alone, a sum nearly nine times his parliamentary salary.

Luxon claims transparency, yet his property flips evaded scrutiny under the old bright-line test. This is the man decrying a CGT as a growth-killer, while his government eases the very rules that once curbed such unproductive profiteering.

Under National's watch, the bright-line test, Labour's 2021 extension to 10 years, was slashed to two years from July 1, 2024, allowing quicker flips without tax. Interest deductibility for rentals, phased out by Labour to cool speculation, has been restored: 80 per cent from April 2024, full by 2025. These tweaks supercharge flipping as a "business," rewarding those who treat housing as a casino rather than a human right.

Many coalition MPs ledgers brim with numerous investment property assets. 33 National MPs command a whopping 117 investment properties, making their own personal interest, not the public good, their driving philosophy. National's coalition partners aren't much better. ACT's Parmjeet Parmar for instance lists seven Auckland holdings, making property value increases a paramount driver in all policy development. Scandals abound, from David Seymour lying about his three properties while claiming he couldn't afford one on an MPs salary to numerous National MPs in 2013 shielding rentals in superannuation schemes to recent trust-shuffles, like National MP Carl Bates' 25 properties tucked away pre-election, evading the pecuniary register. Trusts, those opaque veils, largely conceal Member's spousal assets and valuations, rendering parliaments so-called transparency a farce.

Flipping houses shouldn't masquerade as legitimate enterprise in a nation where shelter is a cornerstone of dignity and a requirement for survival. Speculating in property has birthed a deepening crisis: Stats NZ reports homeownership at only 66.0 per cent, with young Kiwis (25-29) at just 44 per cent, down from 61 per cent in 1991. The median multiple (house price to income) hovers at 7.7, "severely unaffordable", with Auckland at around ten times what the average household earns. Median prices linger at $761,000 nationally, $909,000 average value, while rents strain at $635 per week. 51 per cent of Kiwis cite high prices as the paramount barrier, 49 per cent the rental squeeze. Renters, 83 per cent aspiring to own, despair: 62 per cent deem it unattainable. They have given up on the Kiwi dream of owning a house and having a family or will be moving abroad.

A CGT is no panacea, but it is a vital corrective, curbing the frenzy that prices families out and starves public services, an issue compounded by those in positions of power, which is a vital step to safeguarding New Zealand's future. The coalition's propaganda, laced with Luxon's own gains and their asset-hoarding mentality, rings completely hollow. It's time to tax the flippers, not those who aspire to home ownership. Only then might we reclaim a housing market for the many, and not just the vested few.

12 Oct 2025

Homeless People in New Zealand are Dying on the Streets

In the shadow of Auckland's most affluent suburbs, where wealthy people's indifference masks the fractures of inequality, two lives have slipped away in the most undignified of circumstances. These are not mere statistics, but stark indictments of a system that has abandoned its most vulnerable.

Consider the unnamed woman, recently discovered lifeless in the public toilets at Hauraki Corner shops, a grim sentinel of the streets, her body found by a cleaner amid the detritus of daily commerce.

 

On October 2, the Rangitoto Observer reported:

 

Homeless woman found dead in public toilet block

A woman was found dead in the public toilets at the Hauraki Corner shops last week.
Shocked and saddened shop-owners told the Observer a cleaner found her body.

Her death comes as the wider Takapuna area grapples with increasingly visible homelessness, as was covered in an Observer backgrounder last issue.

With more people living on local streets, some with complex needs and mental health issues, community and church groups are attempting to raise funds to employ a “navigator” to help them connect with services.


Just months earlier, in a parallel tragedy, an elderly man, Jules Turk, died in the cold near a bus stop in Remuera where he often slept, his frail form a haunting reminder of how exposure to the elements takes a terrible toll on the homeless.

Through tragic circumstances, they both hailed from the swelling ranks of rough sleepers in New Zealand, their ends not in the warmth of care but in the cold anonymity of public infrastructure. Devonport-Takapuna Local Board chair Mel Powell captured the horror: "Imagine dying in a public toilet. What a terrible way for a precious life to end." These deaths are no anomalies; they are the foreseeable harvest of policy choices that prioritise fiscal austerity over human dignity.

This coalition of chaos government, led by the National Party since late 2023, bears direct culpability. In a move decried as heartless by frontline advocates, it has tightened eligibility for emergency housing, demanding applicants prove they have not "contributed" to their plight, a bureaucratic gauntlet that scrutinises desperation rather than alleviating it. From 26 August 2024, these changes have seen thousands of applications denied assistance, thrusting more souls onto the streets as motels, once a flawed but vital bridge, are shuttered.

Housing Minister Chris Bishop and Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka defend this as "firm but fair," yet their reluctance to link it to surging rough sleeping rings completely hollow. Potaka concedes "many" attribute the rise to these rules, but insists it's "not just down to one thing" a deflection that ignores the chorus of providers decrying the policy as "very, very harsh." Bishop, meanwhile, flatly denies any causal thread, citing official reports that deem attribution "not possible." Such denialism isn't mere oversight; it's complicity in the escalation...perhaps even an intentional cruel policy to punish the poor for being poor.


Compounding this failure, the government has slashed Kāinga Ora's pipeline, cancelling 60% of planned 2025 social housing projects, 1,019 units evaporated in a puff of fiscal review guided by the government's unrelenting pursuit for further cuts to the social safety net. This at a time when New Zealand's housing shortage gnaws relentlessly at the most vulnerable is not good policy making.

The coalition's vaunted "better social housing" rhetoric rings false when viewed against the reality: while emergency motel numbers have plummeted from 4,000 in September 2023 to under 500 by December 2024, rough sleeping has surged, 90% in Auckland alone since September 2024. Across the country, Stats NZ figures show that 112,000 New Zealanders are now severely housing deprived, roughly 2% of the population.

Nationally, the Ministry of Housing and Urban Development's June 2025 insights report lays bare the crisis: nearly 5,000 people have been identified as now living without shelter, a marked increase from prior years, with 985 Housing First clients languishing on waitlists and unemployment, which is adding to people's housing insecurity, ticking up to 5.1%. The government cannot claim that their policies haven't contributed to this problem. The Salvation Army's State of the Nation 2025 echoes this: while tamariki Māori in state care dip slightly, overall homelessness swells, driven by a lack of government assistance and unaffordable private rents.

Lurking on the horizon is an even graver spectre: the plight of our elders, particularly in light of the government axing thousands of state house builds. Retirement Commissioner Jane Wrightson warns of a "potential disaster," with rising living costs and stagnant superannuation payments poised to propel pensioners into homelessness, a cohort already struggling to pay the bills. As one in five over-65s teeters on financial precipices, many driven to despair by the cost of living crisis, the coalition's housing retrenchment risks a further tsunami of evictions.

 

Yesterday, 1 News reported:

Retirement Commissioner worried more older people will end up homeless

More retirees could be out on the street unless there’s urgent Government intervention, according to the Retirement Commissioner.

Jane Wrightson is backing a petition organised by the Christchurch Methodist Mission that is calling for action to address the housing crisis facing older people.

"There's some levers Government can pull. One is getting a long-term housing plan that doesn't get tipped out every time there's a new government," Wrightson said.


Potaka and Bishop's steadfast refusal to own the fallout, dismissing links as "anecdotal" despite mounting evidence, even from official statistics, reveals a government more attuned to reading spreadsheets than seeing what's really happening in New Zealand. Their policies, cloaked in promises of market-led growth, instead entrench a vicious cycle: fewer homes built, stricter aid thresholds, and a housing market that devours the vulnerable.

Labour's Kieran McAnulty correctly laid the blame at the feet of the current government, saying: "We have known homelessness has been rising since National came into government but Christopher Luxon, Chris Bishop and Tama Potaka have consistently denied it."

New Zealand, a land of plenty for some, has become a graveyard for the forsaken. The Hauraki woman and the Remuera man did not choose their fates; the system chose their undignified deaths for them, through neglect masquerading as reform.

Until this coalition of chaos confronts its role, reversing cuts, rebuilding state housing, and restoring emergency lifelines, we court more such tragedies. A compassionate nation would demand better. It is time our leaders listened, before the streets claim yet another soul.